Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.007235 0.008447 0.009888 0.011750 0.014130 0.017125 0.021268
2025-06-29 0.005647 0.007096 0.009011 0.011812 0.015966 0.022192 0.032895
2025-07-06 0.004880 0.006443 0.008668 0.012232 0.018170 0.028503 0.050328
2025-07-13 0.004461 0.006134 0.008667 0.013062 0.021217 0.037676 0.081396
2025-07-20 0.004063 0.005764 0.008466 0.013466 0.023633 0.047126 0.126009
2025-07-27 0.003691 0.005364 0.008125 0.013508 0.025331 0.056186 0.187482
2025-08-03 0.003398 0.005044 0.007852 0.013594 0.027159 0.067138 0.289626
2025-08-10 0.003090 0.004655 0.007393 0.013189 0.027663 0.074691 0.408783
2025-08-17 0.002789 0.004246 0.006838 0.012464 0.027088 0.078246 0.525052
2025-08-24 0.002548 0.003918 0.006393 0.011892 0.026753 0.082725 0.697761
2025-08-31 0.002429 0.003792 0.006316 0.012136 0.028884 0.100409 1.345672
2025-09-07 0.002272 0.003581 0.006045 0.011867 0.029355 0.111062 2.242627
2025-09-14 0.002074 0.003292 0.005615 0.011209 0.028584 0.115943 3.507446
2025-09-21 0.001962 0.003156 0.005482 0.011280 0.030440 0.141615 12.725100
2025-09-28 0.001889 0.003085 0.005475 0.011675 0.033776 0.188695 484.364741
2025-10-05 0.001851 0.003075 0.005595 0.012453 0.039297 0.283506 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001786 0.003006 0.005575 0.012831 0.043470 0.397097 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001705 0.002898 0.005451 0.012870 0.046102 0.517647 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001634 0.002804 0.005348 0.012951 0.049134 0.698302 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001544 0.002663 0.005119 0.012572 0.049291 0.811928 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001445 0.002498 0.004815 0.011893 0.047241 0.827721 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001361 0.002359 0.004565 0.011356 0.045884 0.873306 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001323 0.002314 0.004539 0.011585 0.049801 1.318965 NaN